- UNLV is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Miami (OH)
- UNLV vs. Miami Ohio Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
UNLV (3-0) visit Fred C. Yager Stadium to take on Miami Ohio (0-2) on Sep. 20 in Oxford, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The UNLV vs. Miami Ohio Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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UNLV vs. Miami Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UNLV | -2.5 -110 | 49.5 -105 | -135 |
| Miami Ohio | +2.5 -110 | 49.5 -115 | 110 |
UNLV vs Miami Ohio Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 84.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Miami (OH), key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UNLV vs Miami Ohio Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UNLV Best Bets Today
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Miami Ohio Best Bets Today
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- UNLV is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 9.37% ROI
- UNLV is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- UNLV is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (OH) iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio
UNLV was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
UNLV was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Miami Ohio
Miami (OH)’s offense has thrown for 334 passing yards in 2 games (just 167.0 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 279.0 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH) has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Miami (OH) has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s WRs has gained 2,586 yards on 179 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV has gained 3,049 yards on 229 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV has gained 3,049 yards on 229 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends
UNLV’s WRs has gained 2,586 yards on 179 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV has gained 3,049 yards on 229 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
UNLV has gained 3,049 yards on 229 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
UNLV Skill Players averaged just 12.6 receptions per game (177/14) last season– 8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
UNLV WRs averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) Skill Players have no touchdowns on 23 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
Miami (OH) have thrown 0 TDs on 40 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.7
Miami (OH) have no touchdowns on 23 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.4
Miami (OH)’s offense has thrown for 334 passing yards in 2 games (just 167.0 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense has allowed 279.0 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH) has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. UNLV’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends
UNLV has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (6/3) this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.78
UNLV has 6 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
UNLV has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (6/3) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.75
UNLV allowed 67 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2023 season– most in FBS
UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (42 completions/101 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) allowed 10 touchdowns on 268 completions (26.8 Completions Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.1 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.1 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Miami (OH) allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (27 completions/66 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (39 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8
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