UNLV vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• UNLV is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Colorado St
• UNLV vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
• TV Channel: FS1

UNLV (6-2) visit Canvas Stadium to take on Colorado State (2-6) on Nov. 8 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The UNLV vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 64.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UNLV and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UNLV vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UNLV Best Bets Today

• UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
• UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 83% ROI)
• UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.80 Units / 7% ROI)

Colorado State Best Bets Today

• Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
• Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• UNLV is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 8.36% ROI
• UNLV is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
• UNLV is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

• Colorado State is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -67.07% ROI
• Colorado State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
• Colorado State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

UNLV was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

UNLV is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .473

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Colorado State is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Colorado State is 3-11 (.214) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378

Colorado State was 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Colorado State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .276

Matchup Notes for UNLV vs. Colorado State

Colorado State is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Colorado State is 3-11 (.214) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378

Colorado State was 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Colorado State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .276

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

UNLV was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

UNLV is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .473

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

UNLV was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

UNLV is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .473

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Colorado State is 3-11 (.214) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378

Colorado State was 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Colorado State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .276

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

UNLV was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

UNLV was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

UNLV is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .473

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Colorado State is 3-11 (.214) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .378

Colorado State was 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Colorado State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .276

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