UL Monroe vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Northwestern is a -11.5 point favorite vs. UL Monroe
• UL Monroe vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
• TV Channel: BTN

UL Monroe (3-1) visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on Northwestern (2-2) on Oct. 4 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Northwestern is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The UL Monroe vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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UL Monroe vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

UL Monroe vs Northwestern Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 75.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Monroe and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UL Monroe vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UL Monroe Best Bets Today

• UL Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.05 Units / 75% ROI)
• UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Northwestern Best Bets Today

• Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.96 Units / 40% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• UL Monroe is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 127.27% ROI
• UL Monroe is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• UL Monroe is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Northwestern is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Northwestern is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
• Northwestern is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Northwestern was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Northwestern is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Northwestern is winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Louisiana-Monroe was 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Louisiana-Monroe was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Matchup Notes for UL Monroe vs. Northwestern

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Louisiana-Monroe was 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Louisiana-Monroe was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Northwestern was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Northwestern is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Northwestern is winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .426

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Northwestern was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Northwestern is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Northwestern is winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Louisiana-Monroe was 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Louisiana-Monroe was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

UL Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Northwestern was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Northwestern is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Northwestern is winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Louisiana-Monroe was 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana-Monroe was winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Louisiana-Monroe was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

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