UCLA vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Southern California head coach Lincoln Riley watches during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Utah, Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
  • USC is a -21.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
  • UCLA vs. USC Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

UCLA (3-8) visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on USC (8-3) on Nov. 29 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-115).

The UCLA vs. USC Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCLA+21.5 -10559.5 -1151000
USC -21.5 -11559.5 -105-2000

UCLA vs USC Prediction:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and USC, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.85 Units / 3% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • UCLA is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 14.57% ROI
  • UCLA is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • UCLA is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC iss 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • USC is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 3.02% ROI
  • USC is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • USC is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. USC

USC’s WRs has gained 2,429 yards on 168 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs gained no yards on 1 catches (0.0 YPR) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

USC’s QBs has thrown for 3,287 passing yards in 11 games (298.8 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 191.1 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 33 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

USC: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among FBS TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has gained 1,963 yards on 202 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 1,368 yards on 122 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA RBs rushed for 3 TDs on 234 carries (78 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. USC

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among FBS TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has gained 1,963 yards on 202 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 1,368 yards on 122 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA RBs rushed for 3 TDs on 234 carries (78 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

USC’s WRs has gained 2,429 yards on 168 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs gained no yards on 1 catches (0.0 YPR) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

USC’s QBs has thrown for 3,287 passing yards in 11 games (298.8 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 191.1 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 33 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

USC’s WRs has gained 2,429 yards on 168 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs gained no yards on 1 catches (0.0 YPR) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

USC’s QBs has thrown for 3,287 passing yards in 11 games (298.8 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 191.1 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 33 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among FBS TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has gained 1,963 yards on 202 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 1,368 yards on 122 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA RBs rushed for 3 TDs on 234 carries (78 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends

USC’s WRs has gained 2,429 yards on 168 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs gained no yards on 1 catches (0.0 YPR) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

USC’s QBs has thrown for 3,287 passing yards in 11 games (298.8 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 191.1 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 33 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.3

USC Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among FBS TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA has gained 1,963 yards on 202 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has gained 197 yards on 29 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has gained 1,368 yards on 122 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA RBs rushed for 3 TDs on 234 carries (78 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4


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