UCLA vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

UNLV offensive lineman Leif Fautanu (79) rests his helmet on the turf before the NCAA college football game against Notre Dame, Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022, in South Bend, Ind. (AP Photo/Marc Lebryk)
(AP Photo/Marc Lebryk)
  • UCLA is a -2.5 point favorite vs. UNLV
  • UCLA vs. UNLV Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

UCLA (0-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on UNLV (2-0) on Sep. 6 in Las Vegas, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

UCLA is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The UCLA vs. UNLV Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCLA-2.5 -11553.5 -110-150
UNLV +2.5 -10553.5 -110+125

UCLA vs UNLV Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 55.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and UNLV, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UCLA vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+3.10 Units / 103% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.75 Units / 22% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • UCLA is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • UCLA is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • UCLA is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UNLV is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.23% ROI
  • UNLV is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UNLV is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

UCLA was 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

UCLA was 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

UCLA was 2-7 (.222) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489

UCLA was 2-7 (.222) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .459

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

UNLV was 8-1 (.889) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .476

UNLV was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

UNLV was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

UNLV was 10-3 (.769) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– 34th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. UNLV

UNLV’s WRs has gained 401 yards on 27 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s RBs has 305 rushing yards this season — 4th-most among FBS RBs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 286 rushing yards this season — most among Big Ten defenses.

UNLV’s offense has 455 rushing yards this season — 4th-most among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense has allowed 286 rushing yards this season — 3rd-most among P5 defenses.

UNLV’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s defense has allowed 291.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UNLV’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

UCLA WRs have averaged just 5.0 receptions per game (5/1) this season– 2nd-worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.9

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV QBs have carried the ball 8 times in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams

UNLV WRs have 234 receiving yards on 1st down this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

UNLV WRs have been targeted 7 times in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

UNLV’s WRs has gained 401 yards on 27 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV RBs have rushed for 4 TDs this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%

UCLA has allowed 6 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big Ten

UCLA has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (21 completions/25 attempts) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

UCLA has allowed 6 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams

UCLA has allowed 6 TDs this season– T-most in the Big Ten

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV has 5 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UNLV has 5 interceptions this season– 2nd-most in FBS

UNLV has allowed 582 Passing Yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS

UNLV has allowed 582 Passing Yards this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UNLV has allowed 21 first down receptions this season– T-3rd-most in FBS


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