UCLA vs Ohio St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:36 AM

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Ohio State head coach Ryan Day observes Rutgers during warm up before a NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)

(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)

Ohio St is a -31.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
UCLA vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

UCLA (3-6) visit Ohio Stadium to take on Ohio State (9-0) on Nov. 15 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Ohio St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -31.5 (-115).

The UCLA vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UCLA	+31.5 -105	48.5 -110	1800
Ohio State	-31.5 -115	48.5 -110	-10000

UCLA vs Ohio State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Ohio St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UCLA vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UCLA Best Bets Today

UCLA has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 44% ROI)
UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Ohio State Best Bets Today

Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Ohio State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Ohio State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.18 Units / 24% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

UCLA is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 29.35% ROI
UCLA is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
UCLA is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio St iss 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

Ohio State is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 4.56% ROI
Ohio State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Ohio State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

UCLA has averaged a sack every 39.0 pass attempts (234 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.6

UCLA has averaged a sack every 39.0 pass attempts (234 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

UCLA has allowed 11.7 Yards per Attempt (280 yards/24 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.7

UCLA allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 15 attempts (13%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

UCLA tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 54 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

Ohio State have thrown 12 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

Ohio State have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

Ohio State have one interception on 114 attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.4

Ohio State’s WRs has 353 receptions in 24 games (14.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 2,261 passing yards in 8 games (282.6 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 185.6 passing yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. Ohio State