- Northwestern is a -6.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
- UCLA vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
UCLA (0-3) visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on Northwestern (1-2) on Sep. 27 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Northwestern is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The UCLA vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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UCLA vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCLA | +6.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 | 190 |
| Northwestern | -6.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -235 |
UCLA vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 66.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCLA vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UCLA Best Bets Today
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets Today
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.96 Units / 36% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 12% ROI)
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- UCLA is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -100% ROI
- UCLA is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- UCLA is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Northwestern is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -1.92% ROI
- Northwestern is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Northwestern is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 17th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA TEs have been targeted 5 times in close and late situations this season– most among Big Ten Teams
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.1 receptions (261 Rec/10 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.9
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Northwestern has 261 receptions in 15 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. Northwestern
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.1 receptions (261 Rec/10 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.9
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Northwestern has 261 receptions in 15 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 17th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA TEs have been targeted 5 times in close and late situations this season– most among Big Ten Teams
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends
UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 17th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA TEs have been targeted 5 times in close and late situations this season– most among Big Ten Teams
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.1 receptions (261 Rec/10 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.9
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Northwestern has 261 receptions in 15 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends
UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA has gained 608 yards on 62 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — 17th-worst among FBS skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA TEs have been targeted 5 times in close and late situations this season– most among Big Ten Teams
UCLA’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.1 receptions (261 Rec/10 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.9
Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Northwestern has 261 receptions in 15 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
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