UAB vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Tennessee Volunteers head coach Josh Heupel looks on during a team practice session ahead of the 2022 Orange Bowl, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Miami Shores, Fla. Tennessee will face the Clemson Tigers in the Orange Bowl on Friday, Dec. 30.(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
  • Tennessee is a -39.5 point favorite vs. UAB
  • UAB vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 69.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

UAB (2-1) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (2-1) on Sep. 20 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -39.5 (-105).

The UAB vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 69.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee vs UAB & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UAB vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UAB+39.5 -11569.5 -110
Tennessee -39.5 -10569.5 -110

UAB vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Tennessee vs UAB and all games with BetMGM


  • UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • UAB is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.43% ROI
  • UAB is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • UAB is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee iss 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Tennessee is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Tennessee is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

UAB was winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

UAB was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Tennessee was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Tennessee

Tennessee has gained 1,076 yards on 78 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed 17.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 1,076 passing yards in 3 games (358.7 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed 254.0 passing yards per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 913 yards on 62 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed 17.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

UAB’s offense has thrown for 909 passing yards in 3 games (303.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 892 passing yards in 3 games (297.3 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 892 passing yards in 3 games (297.3 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB’s offense has thrown for 909 passing yards in 3 games (303.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 892 passing yards in 3 games (297.3 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

UAB RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions on 1st down this season– T-most among FBS Teams

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 892 passing yards in 3 games (297.3 YPG) this season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB’s offense has thrown for 4,048 passing yards in 15 games (269.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee has gained 1,076 yards on 78 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed 17.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 1,076 passing yards in 3 games (358.7 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed 254.0 passing yards per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 913 yards on 62 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed 17.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tennessee has gained 1,076 yards on 78 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed 17.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tennessee have thrown for 4 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

UAB Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has no interceptions and 7 TD passes allowed this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6

UAB has allowed 17.7 yards per completion (762 yards/43 completions) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

UAB has allowed 17.7 yards per completion (762 yards/43 completions) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.1

UAB has allowed 15.3 Yards per Attempt (214 yards/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.5

UAB tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 505 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 381 attempts (1%) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 2%

Tennessee has sacked opponents 5 times on 1st down this season– most in the SEC

Tennessee has forced 5 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee opponents averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (34 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Tennessee has forced 5 fumbles this season– T-2nd-most in FBS


Bet now on Tennessee vs UAB and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.