UAB vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• Rice is a -2.5 point favorite vs. UAB
• UAB vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

UAB (3-5) visit Rice Stadium to take on Rice (4-5) on Nov. 8 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.

Rice is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The UAB vs. Rice Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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UAB vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

UAB vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rice will win this game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Rice, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UAB Best Bets Today

• UAB has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Rice Best Bets Today

• Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rice has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 4% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

• UAB is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 35.71% ROI
• UAB is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
• UAB is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice iss 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

• Rice is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 3.97% ROI
• Rice is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Rice is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

UAB QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

UAB have thrown one TD on 74 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

UAB RBs have picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

UAB’s offense has thrown for 5,190 passing yards in 19 games (273.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

UAB RBs have been targeted 33 times on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB was winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Rice

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB was winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

UAB QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

UAB have thrown one TD on 74 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

UAB RBs have picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

UAB’s offense has thrown for 5,190 passing yards in 19 games (273.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

UAB RBs have been targeted 33 times on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

UAB have thrown one TD on 74 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

UAB RBs have picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

UAB’s offense has thrown for 5,190 passing yards in 19 games (273.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

UAB RBs have been targeted 33 times on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB was winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

UAB Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

UAB have thrown one TD on 74 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

UAB RBs have picked up first downs on 10 receptions on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

UAB’s offense has thrown for 5,190 passing yards in 19 games (273.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

UAB RBs have been targeted 33 times on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Rice Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

UAB was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

UAB was winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

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