UAB vs Navy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

  • Navy is a -21.5 point favorite vs. UAB
  • UAB vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

UAB (1-0) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on Navy (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Navy is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).

The UAB vs. Navy Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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UAB vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UAB+21.5 -11060.5 -110+900
Navy -21.5 -11060.5 -110-1600

UAB vs Navy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 85.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Navy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 74.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 116% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Navy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • UAB is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.69% ROI
  • UAB is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • UAB is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Navy is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Navy is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Navy is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .459

UAB was winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425

UAB was winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

UAB was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .392

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Navy was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627

Navy was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Navy was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Navy was 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .574

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Navy

UAB has gained 247 yards on 18 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB’s RBs has rushed for 259 yards on 33 carries (7.8 YPC) this season — T-11th-best among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense have allowed just 0.7 YPC this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

UAB has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB has gained 247 yards on 18 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have rushed for 5 TDs this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have averaged 259.0 rushing yards per game (259/1) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8

UAB WRs have averaged 16.0 receptions per game (16/1) this season– T-27th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Navy Offensive Stats & Trends

Navy WRs averaged just 1.1 receptions per game (14/13) in the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Navy WRs averaged just 19.2 receiving yards per game (250/13) in the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 163.8

Navy Skill Players averaged 20.9 yards per reception (544 yards/26 catches) on 1st down in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Navy WRs averaged 29.3 yards per reception (88 yards/3 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Navy WRs caught just 14 of 42 passes(33% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%

UAB Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has allowed 4 TD passes this season– T-4th-most in FBS

UAB has allowed 17.3 yards per completion (312 yards/18 completions) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

UAB tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 505 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

UAB has allowed 13.0 Yards per Attempt (312 yards/24 attempts) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 6.3

UAB has allowed 4 TD passes this season– T-4th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Navy Defensive Stats & Trends

Navy has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Navy allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (16 completions/44 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

Navy tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 76 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 22nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Navy has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 22 rush attempts this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23%

Navy has allowed just 0.7 Yards per Carry (15 yards/22 carries) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.2


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