- Tulsa is a -3.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
- Tulsa vs. New Mexico State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Tulsa (1-0) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on New Mexico State (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Las Cruces, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Tulsa is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Tulsa vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Tulsa vs. New Mexico State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tulsa | -3.5 -110 | 52.5 -115 | -165 |
| New Mexico State | +3.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 | +135 |
Tulsa vs New Mexico State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tulsa will win this game with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and New Mexico St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tulsa vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 85.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tulsa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tulsa is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Tulsa is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 48.78% ROI
- Tulsa is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Tulsa is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico St iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 10% ROI
- New Mexico State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Tulsa was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
Tulsa was winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .380
Tulsa was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .392
Tulsa was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .532
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico State was 2-7 (.200) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .443
Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. New Mexico State
Tulsa’s RBs has rushed for 266 yards on 39 carries (6.8 YPC) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense have allowed just 2.2 YPC to RBs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs has rushed for 266 yards on 39 carries (6.8 YPC) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense have allowed just 1.9 YPC this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Tulsa’s RBs has rushed for 266 yards on 39 carries (6.8 YPC) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense have allowed just 1.9 YPC this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa RBs have been targeted 6 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa RBs have averaged 266.0 rushing yards per game (266/1) this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8
Tulsa RBs have carried the ball 9 times on 3rd down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulsa RBs have averaged 6.8 Yards per Carry (266 yards/39 carries) this season– T-22nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Tulsa RBs have averaged 170.0 rushing yards per game (170/1) in the 2nd half this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 63.9
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State TEs have been targeted 5 times on 3rd down this season– T-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State WRs have caught just 99 of 232 passes (43% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61%
New Mexico State WRs have no receptions on 14 targets in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 53%
New Mexico State WRs caught just 88 of 210 passes(42% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 140 of 299 passes(47% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%
Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulsa has sacked opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts (5/19) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Tulsa has sacked opposing QBs on 26% of pass attempts (5/19) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes in the 2024 season– most in FBS
Tulsa allowed 316.0 Passing Yards per game (3,792/12) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 218.6
Tulsa did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.7
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) in the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State has forced 3 fumbles on 494 carries (164.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.9
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico State forced 4 fumbles on 459 carries (114.8 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2024 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.7
New Mexico State has forced 3 fumbles on 494 carries (164.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 46.3
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