Tulsa vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Memphis is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
• Tulsa vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPNU

Tulsa (2-3) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on Memphis (5-0) on Oct. 4 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Tulsa vs. Memphis Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Tulsa vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Tulsa vs Memphis Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 86.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulsa vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Tulsa Best Bets Today

• Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Memphis Best Bets Today

• Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+13.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Memphis have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

• Tulsa is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 6.77% ROI
• Tulsa is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -61.47% ROI
• Tulsa is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.25% ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis iss 5-0 against the spread this college football season (+5 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Memphis is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 11.41% ROI
• Memphis is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI
• Memphis is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Memphis has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Memphis allowed 89.3 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.3

Memphis has 6 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 119 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Memphis has allowed 90.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.0

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Memphis was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Memphis was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. Memphis

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Memphis was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Memphis was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Memphis has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Memphis allowed 89.3 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.3

Memphis has 6 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 119 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Memphis has allowed 90.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.0

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Memphis allowed 89.3 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.3

Memphis has 6 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 119 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Memphis has allowed 90.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.0

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Memphis was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Memphis was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Memphis allowed 89.3 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.3

Memphis has 6 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 119 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Memphis has allowed 90.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.0

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Memphis was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Memphis was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

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