Tulane vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

  • Memphis is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Tulane
  • Tulane vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Tulane (6-2) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on Memphis (8-1) on Nov. 7 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Tulane vs. Memphis Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Tulane vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulane+3.5 -11054.5 -110145
Memphis -3.5 -11054.5 -110-175

Tulane vs Memphis Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Memphis vs Tulane and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.21 Units / 15% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI).

  • Tulane is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 11.88% ROI
  • Tulane is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI
  • Tulane is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis iss 8-1 against the spread this college football season (+6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI).

  • Memphis is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -8.03% ROI
  • Memphis is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -14.72% ROI
  • Memphis is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.03% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Tulane allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS

Tulane allowed 5 TD passes last week– most in FBS

Tulane’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulane has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 29 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 3 of 87 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis’s WRs has gained 1,567 yards on 108 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 14 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Memphis

Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis’s WRs has gained 1,567 yards on 108 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 14 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulane allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS

Tulane allowed 5 TD passes last week– most in FBS

Tulane’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulane has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 29 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 3 of 87 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS

Tulane allowed 5 TD passes last week– most in FBS

Tulane’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulane has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 29 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 3 of 87 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis’s WRs has gained 1,567 yards on 108 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 14 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS

Tulane allowed 5 TD passes last week– most in FBS

Tulane’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulane has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 29 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 3 of 87 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Memphis’s WRs has gained 1,567 yards on 108 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 14 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams


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