Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

• Southern Miss is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Troy
• Troy vs. Southern Mississippi Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Troy (7-4) visit M. M. Roberts Stadium to take on Southern Mississippi (7-4) on Nov. 29 in Hattiesburg, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Southern Miss is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Southern Mississippi Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Southern Mississippi Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Troy vs Southern Mississippi Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Southern Miss, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Troy vs Southern Mississippi Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Troy Best Bets Today

• Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Troy have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Troy has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 63% ROI)

Southern Mississippi Best Bets Today

• Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• Southern Miss have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Southern Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

• Troy is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 19.45% ROI
• Troy is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
• Troy is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Southern Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

• Southern Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
• Southern Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
• Southern Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Mississippi

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Troy is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

Southern Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy have been sacked 43 times this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9

Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0

Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Southern Mississippi

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy have been sacked 43 times this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9

Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Troy is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Troy is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

Southern Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy have been sacked 43 times this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9

Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Troy is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .568

Southern Mississippi Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy have been sacked 43 times this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9

Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0

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