Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Old Dominion coach Ricky Rahne reacts after being doused, next to defensive tackle Denzel Lowry (45) after the team's win over Virginia Tech in an NCAA college football game Friday, Sept. 2, 2022, in Norfolk, Va. (AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
(AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
  • Old Dominion is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Troy
  • Troy vs. Old Dominion Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Troy (6-3) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on Old Dominion (6-3) on Nov. 13 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Old Dominion is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Troy vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Old Dominion vs Troy & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Troy vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+11.5 -11552.5 -110325
Old Dominion -11.5 -10552.5 -110-425

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Old Dominion will win this game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Old Dominion, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Troy vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Old Dominion will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Old Dominion vs Troy and all games with BetMGM


  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+8.00 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+6.50 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+5.15 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Troy is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 27% ROI
  • Troy is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Troy is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion iss 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -5.76% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Troy tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 29 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 17%

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Old Dominion is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Old Dominion was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Old Dominion

Old Dominion is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Old Dominion was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Troy tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 29 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 17%

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Troy tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 29 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 17%

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Old Dominion was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 33 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Troy tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 29 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 17%

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Old Dominion Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Old Dominion was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Old Dominion is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591


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