Troy vs Jacksonville St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Salute to Veterans Bowl

BetMGM Betting Dec 13, 2025, 11:24 AM

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Jacksonville State head coach Rich Rodriguez smiles after his team ties the game 14-14 during the first half of an NCAA college football game against South Carolina on Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Columbia, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)

(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)

Troy is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Jacksonville St
Troy vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

Troy (8-5) visit Cramton Bowl to take on Jacksonville State (8-5) on Dec. 16 in Montgomery, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

Troy is a betting favorite in the Salute to Veterans Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Troy	-3.5 -110	46.5 -110	-165
Jacksonville State	+3.5 -110	46.5 -110	140

Troy vs Jacksonville State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 62.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Jacksonville St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Troy vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Troy Best Bets Today

Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+9.65 Units / 123% ROI)
Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
Troy have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Troy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.25 Units / 76% ROI)
Troy has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Jacksonville State Best Bets Today

Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 62% ROI)
Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Jacksonville State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).

Troy is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 23.04% ROI
Troy is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Troy is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville St iss 6-7 against the spread this college football season (-1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI).

Jacksonville State is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 25.6% ROI
Jacksonville State is 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Jacksonville State is 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (43/285) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Troy have been sacked 43 times this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9

Troy RBs have averaged 90.0 rushing yards per game (900/10) this season– 19th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 123.8

Troy RBs have averaged 4.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (971 yards / 219 touches) this season– 13th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .604

Troy was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Jacksonville State