Troy vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

FILE - Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney runs onto the field before an NCAA college football game against North Carolina Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Clemson, S.C. Clemson tries to end its worst season since 2010 with a five-game winning streak when it plays Kentucky in the Gator Bowl.(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman,File)
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
  • Clemson is a -33.5 point favorite vs. Troy
  • Troy vs. Clemson Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Troy (1-0) visit Memorial Stadium to take on Clemson (0-1) on Sep. 6 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -33.5 (-110).

The Troy vs. Clemson Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+33.5 -11051.5 -110+
Clemson -33.5 -11051.5 -110+

Troy vs Clemson Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 88.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Clemson, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Troy vs Clemson Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Clemson will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+0.80 Units / 1% ROI)

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy is 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Troy is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Troy is 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Troy is 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Clemson is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI
  • Clemson is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Clemson is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375

Troy was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .380

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .627

Clemson was 5-2 (.714) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .482

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.1

Troy RBs have averaged 218.0 rushing yards per game (218/1) this season– 14th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8

Troy Skill Players caught just 8 of 23 passes(35% Reception Pct) in close and late situations in the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61%

Troy WRs have averaged just 8.0 receptions per game (8/1) this season– T-25th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Troy RBs have averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson RBs averaged 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (277 yards / 31 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Clemson Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Clemson Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Clemson Skill Players have been targeted 16 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Clemson RBs have averaged 19.0 rushing yards per game (19/1) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%

Troy has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (221 yards / 94 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Troy tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 30 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Troy has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (221 yards / 94 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Clemson Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Clemson allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 30 of their 477 carries (6%) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Clemson allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 30 of their 477 carries (6%) in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 4%

Clemson has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (1/39) this season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Clemson allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (296 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3


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