Toledo vs C Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Toledo is a -10.5 point favorite vs. C Michigan
  • Toledo vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Toledo (7-4) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on Central Michigan (7-4) on Nov. 29 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-102).

The Toledo vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo-10.5 -10244.5 -105-400
Central Michigan +10.5 -11844.5 -115310

Toledo vs Central Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 51% ROI)

Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Toledo is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Toledo is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -4.59% ROI
  • Toledo is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Toledo is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan iss 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan is winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Central Michigan is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo

Toledo was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Toledo is winless (0-3) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Toledo was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Toledo was 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Toledo vs. Central Michigan

Toledo was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Toledo is winless (0-3) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Toledo was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Toledo was 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Central Michigan is winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Central Michigan is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan is winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Central Michigan is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Toledo was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Toledo is winless (0-3) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Toledo was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Toledo was 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan is winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Central Michigan is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Toledo was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Toledo is winless (0-3) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .277

Toledo was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Toledo was 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .668


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