- Utah is a -3 point favorite vs. Texas Tech
- Texas Tech vs. Utah Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Texas Tech (3-0) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on Utah (3-0) on Sep. 20 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Utah is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3 (-118).
The Texas Tech vs. Utah Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | +3 -102 | 56.5 -105 | 125 |
| Utah | -3 -118 | 56.5 -115 | -155 |
Texas Tech vs Utah Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 59.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Utah, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Utah Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas Tech Best Bets Today
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Utah Best Bets Today
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Utah have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.55% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah iss 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Utah is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.83% ROI
- Utah is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Utah is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Texas Tech was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468
Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .684
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Utah was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Utah was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Utah was 7-1 (.875) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .644
Utah was 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .533
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Utah
Utah’s WRs has 129 receptions in 15 games (just 8.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.
Utah’s WRs has 129 receptions in 15 games (just 8.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah’s WRs has 129 receptions in 15 games (just 8.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech has 413 receptions in 16 games (25.8 per game) since the 2024 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 15 receptions in 3 games (5.0 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 12.7 receptions per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech has 413 receptions in 16 games (25.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech has 413 receptions in 16 games (25.8 per game) since the 2024 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 15 receptions in 3 games (5.0 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 12.7 receptions per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech has 413 receptions in 16 games (25.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has 284 receptions in 16 games (17.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah TEs caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Utah WRs had just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (649/13) to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0
Texas Tech opponents averaged 23.4 completions per game (304 / 13) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.5
Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most in FBS
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 Passing Yards per game (4,005/13) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 219.2
Utah Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 28 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 28 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Utah has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 22 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 22 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
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