- Texas Tech is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Houston
- Texas Tech vs. Houston Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Texas Tech (4-0) visit TDECU Stadium to take on Houston (4-0) on Oct. 4 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).
The Texas Tech vs. Houston Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | -11.5 -105 | 51.5 -115 | -475 |
| Houston | +11.5 -115 | 51.5 -105 | 350 |
Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 76.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Houston Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 67.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas Tech Best Bets Today
- Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+5.75 Units / 76% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Houston Best Bets Today
- Houston has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Houston have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 10.65% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Houston is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 11.44% ROI
- Houston is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Houston is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Houston opponents averaged just 2.2 Passing Attempts per TD (24 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4.1
Houston has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 62 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (649/13) to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 receiving yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.3
Texas Tech opponents averaged 23.4 completions per game (304 / 13) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.5
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 Passing Yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.4
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Houston
Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (649/13) to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 receiving yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.3
Texas Tech opponents averaged 23.4 completions per game (304 / 13) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.5
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 Passing Yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.4
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Houston opponents averaged just 2.2 Passing Attempts per TD (24 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4.1
Houston has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 62 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Houston opponents averaged just 2.2 Passing Attempts per TD (24 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4.1
Houston has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 62 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (649/13) to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 receiving yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.3
Texas Tech opponents averaged 23.4 completions per game (304 / 13) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.5
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 Passing Yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.4
Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Houston allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
Houston opponents averaged just 2.2 Passing Attempts per TD (24 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4.1
Houston has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 62 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%
Houston Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech allowed 49.9 receiving yards per game (649/13) to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.0
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 receiving yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.3
Texas Tech opponents averaged 23.4 completions per game (304 / 13) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.5
Texas Tech allowed 308.1 Passing Yards per game (4,005/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.4
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