- Ohio St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Texas
- Texas vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Texas (0-0) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Ohio St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Texas vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Texas vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas | +1.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | +100 |
| Ohio State | -1.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -120 |
Texas vs Ohio State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 55.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Ohio St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 94% ROI)
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Texas was winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Texas is 17-1 (.944) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .568
Texas is undefeated (14-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .595
Texas is 24-1 (.960) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .616
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Ohio State is winless (0-2) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .282
Ohio State is 16-4 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .441
Ohio State is 20-3 (.870) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .568
Ohio State is 11-3 (.786) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Ohio State
Ohio State gained 4,208 yards on 324 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Ohio State’s QBs threw for 4,208 passing yards in 16 games (263.0 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Texas’s defense allowed just 173.7 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Ohio State gained 4,208 yards on 324 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas’s QBs threw for 4,429 passing yards in 16 games (276.8 YPG) last season — 14th-best among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense threw for 4,459 passing yards in 16 games (278.7 YPG) last season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas’s offense threw for 4,459 passing yards in 16 games (278.7 YPG) last season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas’s QBs threw for 4,429 passing yards in 16 games (276.8 YPG) last season — 14th-best among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense threw for 4,459 passing yards in 16 games (278.7 YPG) last season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (875 yards/38 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Texas QBs had 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down in the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Texas’s offense threw for 4,459 passing yards in 16 games (278.7 YPG) last season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 167.0 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State gained 4,208 yards on 324 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Ohio State’s QBs threw for 4,208 passing yards in 16 games (263.0 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Texas’s defense allowed just 173.7 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Ohio State gained 4,208 yards on 324 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Texas’s defense allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs had 42 receptions in 16 games (just 2.6 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Texas’s defense allowed 4.1 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs gained 3,317 yards on 232 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Texas’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — best among FBS defenses.
Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas opponents averaged 58.3 Passing Attempts per TD (408 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Texas allowed 100.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs in the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 152.6
Texas opponents averaged 58.3 Passing Attempts per TD (408 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 25.9
Texas allowed just 9.1 yards per completion (2,194 yards/242 completions) in the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.7
Texas allowed 7 touchdowns on 242 completions (34.6 Completions Per TD) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 12.5
Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State opponents averaged 82.0 Passing Attempts per TD (328 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.4
Ohio State opponents has averaged 54.2 Passing Attempts per TD (704 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.3
Ohio State opponents averaged 10.3 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Ohio State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (39/328) in the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Ohio State opponents averaged 82.0 Passing Attempts per TD (328 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.9
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