Texas vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:36 AM

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Georgia head coach Kirby Smart watches a play during the first half of the Southeastern Conference championship NCAA college football game against Alabama in Atlanta, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

(AP Photo/John Bazemore)

Georgia is a -6 point favorite vs. Texas
Texas vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

Texas (7-2) visit Sanford Stadium to take on Georgia (8-1) on Nov. 15 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Texas vs. Georgia Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Texas	+6 -110	48.5 -110	185
Georgia	-6 -110	48.5 -110	-225

Texas vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 66.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Georgia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Texas Best Bets Today

Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Texas has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Georgia Best Bets Today

Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Georgia has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).

Texas is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 6.83% ROI
Texas is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Texas is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia iss 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -14.72% ROI).

Georgia is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 17.29% ROI
Georgia is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
Georgia is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 47 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 47 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 37 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (94 completions/132 attempts) in the 1st half this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 62%

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Georgia Skill Players have caught 41 of 51 passes (80% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia WRs have caught 31 of 37 passes (84% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 59%

Georgia WRs have caught 80 of 111 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 58%

Georgia RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia RBs picked up first downs on 6 receptions in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Georgia