Texas vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Texas is a -7 point favorite vs. Florida
• Texas vs. Florida Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Texas (3-1) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on Florida (1-3) on Oct. 4 in Gainesville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Texas is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Texas vs. Florida Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Texas vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Texas vs Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas vs Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Texas Best Bets Today

• Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 2% ROI)
• Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• Texas has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Florida Best Bets Today

• Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 4% ROI)
• Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

• Texas is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• Texas is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
• Texas is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida iss 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

• Florida is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -100% ROI
• Florida is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
• Florida is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

Florida was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Florida is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Florida is 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .650

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Texas was 13-2 (.867) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Texas was 11-3 (.786) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Matchup Notes for Texas vs. Florida

Texas was 13-2 (.867) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Texas was 11-3 (.786) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Florida was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Florida is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Florida is 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .650

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Florida is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Florida is 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .650

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas was 13-2 (.867) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Texas was 11-3 (.786) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Florida is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Florida is 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .650

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas was 13-2 (.867) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Texas was 11-3 (.786) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Texas was 13-3 (.812) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

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