Texas A&M vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

FILE - Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian looks on before the Sugar Bowl CFP NCAA semifinal college football game against Washington, Monday, Jan. 1, 2024, in New Orleans. Sarkisianโ€™s contract extension will push his guaranteed salary to $10.3 million this year under details released by the school's Board of Regents. That will make him one of the highest paid coaches in the country after leading the Longhorns to the Big 12 championship and their first appearance in the College Football Playoff (AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman, File)
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
  • Texas A&M is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Texas
  • Texas A&M vs. Texas Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Texas A&M (11-0) visit Darrell K Royalโ€“Texas Memorial Stadium to take on Texas (8-3) on Nov. 28 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Texas A&M vs. Texas Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-2.5 -10551.5 -110-130
Texas +2.5 -11551.5 -110110

Texas A&M vs Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.07 Units / 0% ROI)

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 11.74% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas iss 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • Texas is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 5.25% ROI
  • Texas is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Texas is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .611

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

Texas A&M is undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 25.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in FBS; Average: 20.6

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Texas

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 25.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in FBS; Average: 20.6

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .611

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

Texas A&M is undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .611

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

Texas A&M is undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 25.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in FBS; Average: 20.6

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .611

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas A&M is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

Texas A&M is undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 25.9

Texas opponents averaged 54.3 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– best in FBS; Average: 20.6

Texas opponents averaged 10.2 Passing Attempts per TD (41 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0


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