Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Stanford in South Bend, Ind., Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • Notre Dame is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Texas A&M
  • Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

Texas A&M (2-0) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on Notre Dame (0-1) on Sep. 13 in South Bend, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M+6.5 -11049.5 -110220
Notre Dame -6.5 -11049.5 -110-275

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 65.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Notre Dame will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 52% ROI)

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -100% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Texas A&M was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Texas A&M is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Texas A&M is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .646

Texas A&M is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .643

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Notre Dame was undefeated (11-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Notre Dame was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Notre Dame was 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Notre Dame was undefeated (10-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 3,391 passing yards in 17 games (just 199.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 224.0 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame’s RBs has rushed for 2,341 yards on 368 carries (6.4 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense have allowed 4.0 YPC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 98 yards on 10 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 513 yards on 33 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M has 261 receptions in 15 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 513 yards on 33 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M TEs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.6

Texas A&M WRs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M has 261 receptions in 15 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 3,391 passing yards in 17 games (just 199.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 224.0 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame TEs have been targeted 8.0 times per game (8/1) in the 2nd half this season– T-2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6

Notre Dame’s RBs has rushed for 2,341 yards on 368 carries (6.4 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS RBs. Texas A&M’s defense have allowed 4.0 YPC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 98 yards on 10 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 98 yards on 10 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — T-4th-worst among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Texas A&M has not recorded a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2

Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Texas A&M has not recorded a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 14.1

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame opponents averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (371 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (255 completions/477 attempts) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 50 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Notre Dame allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (235 completions/447 attempts) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame opponents averaged 7.0 Passing Attempts per TD (35 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.8


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