Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Fireworks go off at Donald W Reynolds Razorback Stadium as the Arkansas Razorbacks take the field to play the Auburn Tigers during an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Fayetteville, Ark.
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
  • Texas A&M is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas
  • Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Texas A&M (6-0) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (2-4) on Oct. 18 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-7.5 -10561.5 -110-300
Arkansas +7.5 -11561.5 -110240

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 8.94% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Arkansas is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -18.7% ROI
  • Arkansas is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Arkansas is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Arkansas allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 25 attempts (4%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 1%

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,610 yards / 343 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.1

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 6.8

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (428 yards/20 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Arkansas has gained 1,760 yards on 124 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 20 receptions (21.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

Arkansas’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (428 yards/20 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Arkansas has gained 1,760 yards on 124 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 20 receptions (21.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

Arkansas’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 25 attempts (4%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 1%

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,610 yards / 343 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.1

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 6.8

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 25 attempts (4%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 1%

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,610 yards / 343 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.1

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 6.8

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (428 yards/20 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Arkansas has gained 1,760 yards on 124 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 20 receptions (21.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

Arkansas’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 25 attempts (4%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 1%

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,610 yards / 343 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.1

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 6.8

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (428 yards/20 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Arkansas has gained 1,760 yards on 124 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs has gained 428 yards on 20 receptions (21.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

Arkansas’s WRs has 273 receptions in 19 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.


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