TCU vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Colorado head coach Deion Sanders in the first half of the team's spring practice NCAA college football game Saturday, April 22, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Houston is a -1.5 point favorite vs. TCU
  • TCU vs. Houston Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

TCU (6-4) visit TDECU Stadium to take on Houston (8-2) on Nov. 22 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Houston is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Houston Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+1.5 -11555.5 -118-105
Houston -1.5 -10555.5 -102-115

TCU vs Houston Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

TCU vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 67% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.86 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.7% ROI).

  • TCU is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -5.47% ROI
  • TCU is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • TCU is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston iss 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.48% ROI).

  • Houston is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 5.92% ROI
  • Houston is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Houston is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Houston

TCU’s WRs has gained 2,292 yards on 158 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

TCU WRs averaged 19.6 yards per reception (314 yards/16 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.9

TCU Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

TCU Skill Players averaged 17.7 yards per reception (319 yards/18 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0

TCU have averaged 16.2 yards per completion (600 yards/37 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

TCU was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .632

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Houston

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

TCU was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .632

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

TCU’s WRs has gained 2,292 yards on 158 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

TCU WRs averaged 19.6 yards per reception (314 yards/16 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.9

TCU Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

TCU Skill Players averaged 17.7 yards per reception (319 yards/18 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0

TCU have averaged 16.2 yards per completion (600 yards/37 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

TCU’s WRs has gained 2,292 yards on 158 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

TCU WRs averaged 19.6 yards per reception (314 yards/16 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.9

TCU Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

TCU Skill Players averaged 17.7 yards per reception (319 yards/18 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0

TCU have averaged 16.2 yards per completion (600 yards/37 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

TCU was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .632

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends

TCU’s WRs has gained 2,292 yards on 158 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

TCU WRs averaged 19.6 yards per reception (314 yards/16 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.9

TCU Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

TCU Skill Players averaged 17.7 yards per reception (319 yards/18 catches) in close and late situations last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0

TCU have averaged 16.2 yards per completion (600 yards/37 completions) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

TCU was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .632

TCU was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647


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