- Arizona St is a -3 point favorite vs. TCU
- TCU vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
TCU (3-0) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on Arizona State (3-1) on Sep. 26 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The TCU vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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TCU vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| TCU | +3 -110 | 55.5 -115 | 130 |
| Arizona State | -3 -110 | 55.5 -105 | -155 |
TCU vs Arizona State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 60.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
TCU vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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TCU Best Bets Today
- TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- TCU have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Arizona State Best Bets Today
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- TCU is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 49.38% ROI
- TCU is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- TCU is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI).
- Arizona State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.41% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Arizona State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
TCU Skill Players averaged 33.4 yards per reception (167 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last week– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.8
TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 109 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.7% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
TCU QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 500 attempts since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 2,492 yards on 173 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s TEs has gained 480 yards on 50 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Arizona State
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 500 attempts since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 2,492 yards on 173 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s TEs has gained 480 yards on 50 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
TCU Skill Players averaged 33.4 yards per reception (167 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last week– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.8
TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 109 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.7% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
TCU QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU Skill Players averaged 33.4 yards per reception (167 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last week– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.8
TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 109 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.7% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
TCU QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 500 attempts since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 2,492 yards on 173 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s TEs has gained 480 yards on 50 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
TCU Defensive Stats & Trends
TCU Skill Players averaged 33.4 yards per reception (167 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter last week– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.8
TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 109 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.7% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
TCU WRs have averaged 28.4 yards per reception (199 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
TCU QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 500 attempts since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 2,492 yards on 173 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s TEs has gained 480 yards on 50 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
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