- Virginia is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
- Stanford vs. Virginia Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
Stanford (1-2) visit Scott Stadium to take on Virginia (2-1) on Sep. 20 in Charlottesville, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Stanford vs. Virginia Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on Virginia vs Stanford & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Stanford vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Stanford | +15.5 -110 | 49.5 -115 | 525 |
| Virginia | -15.5 -110 | 49.5 -105 | -750 |
Stanford vs Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 80.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Stanford vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Virginia vs Stanford and all games with BetMGM
Stanford Best Bets Today
- Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Stanford have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Virginia Best Bets Today
- Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.81 Units / 29% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stanford is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Stanford is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 76.67% ROI
- Stanford is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Stanford is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Virginia is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.97% ROI
- Virginia is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Virginia is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia
Stanford was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Stanford was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Stanford is winless (0-9) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .455
Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford
Virginia was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Virginia was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Virginia
Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 868 passing yards in 3 games (289.3 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 239.3 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia has 320 receptions in 15 games (21.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Stanford’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Virginia has 320 receptions in 15 games (21.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Stanford’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Stanford’s QBs has thrown for 437 passing yards in 3 games (just 145.7 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 437 passing yards in 3 games (just 145.7 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 2,732 passing yards in 15 games (just 182.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 248.3 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends
Stanford Skill Players have just one touchdown on 45 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.0
Stanford WRs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Stanford WRs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.4
Stanford’s QBs has thrown for 437 passing yards in 3 games (just 145.7 YPG) this season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 189.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 25 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Virginia RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Virginia have thrown 8 TDs on 65 pass attempts (one TD every 8.1 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Virginia have not been sacked (114 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.9
Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends
Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4
Stanford allowed 31 TD passes last season– 3rd-most in FBS
Stanford allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Stanford allowed 31 TD passes last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends
Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
Virginia sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (19/389) last season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Virginia sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/377) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Virginia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Virginia had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Bet now on Virginia vs Stanford and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
