Stanford vs Hawaii Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 0

A Hawaii football helmet sits on a case before the start of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 19, 2015, in Honolulu. (AP Photo/Eugene Tanner)
(AP Photo/Eugene Tanner)
  • Hawaii is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • Stanford vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

The Stanford (0-0) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on the Hawaii (0-0) on Aug. 23 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Hawaii is a betting favorite in Week 0, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Stanford vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+2.5 -11050.5 -115+115
Hawaii -2.5 -11050.5 -105-140

Stanford vs Hawaii Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Hawai’i will win this game with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and Hawaii, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawai’i will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Hawaii have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.45 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.20 Units / 49% ROI)

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii

There are no Keys to the Game notes available for this game

Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Hawai’i is undefeated (6-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .626

Hawai’i is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .473

Hawai’i is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Hawai’i was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Hawaii

Hawai’i’s offense has thrown for 6,811 passing yards in 25 games (272.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense has allowed 239.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Hawai’i’s QBs has thrown for 6,785 passing yards in 25 games (271.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense has allowed 239.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Hawai’i’s RBs averaged 9.9 yards after the catch last season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense allowed 12.7 RAC last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Sam Roush (STAN) gained 334 yards on 40 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) last season — 4th-worst of Qualified Power 5 Skill Players. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Roush (STAN) gained 334 yards on 40 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst of Qualified ACC Skill Players. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Roush (STAN) gained 334 yards on 40 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) last season — T-3rd-worst of Qualified Tight Ends. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 35.7 times per game (893/25) since the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.7

Hawai’i WRs averaged 11.0 receptions per game (132/12) in the 2nd half in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

Hawai’i WRs were targeted 36.9 times per game (443/12) in the 2024 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Hawai’i WRs have averaged 21.8 receptions per game (544/25) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Hawai’i RBs have averaged 13.1 carries per game (328 carries / 25 games) since the 2023 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 24.9

Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 64% (444 completions/698 attempts) since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Hawai’i allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 27 of 365 attempts (7%) in the 2024 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Hawai’i opponents averaged just 3.3 Passing Attempts per TD (36 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: 3.9

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (17 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 60% (61 completions/102 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%


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