Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Southern Miss is a -2.5 point favorite vs. South Alabama
  • Southern Mississippi vs. South Alabama Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Southern Mississippi (7-3) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on South Alabama (3-7) on Nov. 22 in Mobile, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Southern Miss is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Southern Mississippi vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Southern Mississippi vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Mississippi-2.5 -10554.5 -110-125
South Alabama +2.5 -11554.5 -110105

Southern Mississippi vs South Alabama Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 55.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and South Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Southern Mississippi vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)

Southern Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Southern Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Southern Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama iss 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -20.76% ROI
  • South Alabama is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • South Alabama is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Southern Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 474 carries (7%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 4%

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Mississippi

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Matchup Notes for Southern Mississippi vs. South Alabama

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 474 carries (7%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 4%

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

Southern Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 474 carries (7%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 4%

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Southern Mississippi Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Southern Miss forced 3 fumbles on 474 carries (158.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Southern Miss allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 474 carries (7%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 4%

Southern Miss has 20 interceptions this season– most in FBS

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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