- South Florida is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Navy
- South Florida vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
South Florida (7-2) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on Navy (7-2) on Nov. 15 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The South Florida vs. Navy Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | -10.5 -110 | 64.5 -105 | -400 |
| Navy | +10.5 -110 | 64.5 -115 | 310 |
South Florida vs Navy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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South Florida Best Bets Today
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Navy Best Bets Today
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.85 Units / 0% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI).
- South Florida is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 9.24% ROI
- South Florida is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- South Florida is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy iss 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).
- Navy is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 10.05% ROI
- Navy is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- Navy is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
South Florida has gained 2,325 yards on 182 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 278 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.2% of attempts this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 23.7 targets per game this season — 30th-highest among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 14.1 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs averaged 14.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (128 yards / 9 touches) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
South Florida is 6-1 (.857) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
South Florida was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .611
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Navy
South Florida is 6-1 (.857) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
South Florida was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .611
South Florida has gained 2,325 yards on 182 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 278 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.2% of attempts this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 23.7 targets per game this season — 30th-highest among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 14.1 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs averaged 14.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (128 yards / 9 touches) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has gained 2,325 yards on 182 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 278 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.2% of attempts this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 23.7 targets per game this season — 30th-highest among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 14.1 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs averaged 14.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (128 yards / 9 touches) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida is 6-1 (.857) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
South Florida was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .611
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has gained 2,325 yards on 182 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Navy’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 278 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.2% of attempts this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 23.7 targets per game this season — 30th-highest among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 14.1 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs averaged 14.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (128 yards / 9 touches) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Navy Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida is 6-1 (.857) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
South Florida was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
South Florida is 13-3 (.812) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .611
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