- Miami Florida is a -17.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- South Florida vs. Miami Florida Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
South Florida (2-0) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on Miami Florida (2-0) on Sep. 13 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT.
Miami Florida is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The South Florida vs. Miami Florida Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Miami Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +17.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | 600 |
| Miami Florida | -17.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | -900 |
South Florida vs Miami Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 80.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Miami Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Miami Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 71.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets Today
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Miami Florida Best Bets Today
- Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Miami has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Miami has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Miami have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- South Florida is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 400% ROI
- South Florida is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- South Florida is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami Florida iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida
South Florida was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
South Florida was 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624
South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Miami (FL) was 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Miami (FL) was 11-2 (.846) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Miami (FL) was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Miami Florida
Miami (FL) has 377 receptions in 15 games (25.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Miami (FL)’s WRs has 265 receptions in 15 games (17.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Miami (FL)’s TEs has 9 receptions in 2 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-4th-best among ACC TEs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 25.0 receptions per game this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has gained 2,712 yards on 227 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has 227 receptions in 15 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 18.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s WRs has gained 2,712 yards on 227 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has 227 receptions in 15 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense has allowed just 18.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,003 yards on 361 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Miami (FL)’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) QBs had 76 completions for 20 or more yards last season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Miami (FL) Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Miami (FL) has 377 receptions in 15 games (25.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Miami (FL) RBs have averaged 7.5 Yards per Carry (846 yards/113 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Miami (FL)’s WRs has 265 receptions in 15 games (17.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most in FBS
South Florida’s opponents has attempted 48.0 passes per game this season– 2nd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4
Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (FL) has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (21 completions/55 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 58%
Miami (FL) allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (20 completions/53 attempts) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 58%
Miami (FL) allowed opponents to catch just 20 of 53 passes (38% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 59%
Miami (FL) allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Miami (FL) allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 17%
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