- Florida is a -17.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- South Florida vs. Florida Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
South Florida (1-0) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on Florida (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Gainesville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Florida is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The South Florida vs. Florida Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +17.5 -110 | 56.5 -110 | +600 |
| Florida | -17.5 -110 | 56.5 -110 | -900 |
South Florida vs Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 82.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+8.60 Units / 112% ROI)
- Florida have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- South Florida is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 170% ROI
- South Florida is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- South Florida is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Florida is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Florida is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
South Florida was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .574
South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .459
South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .532
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Florida was 7-5 (.583) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .443
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Florida
South Florida has gained 255 yards on 17 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has gained 206 yards on 13 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has gained 206 yards on 13 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 16.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has gained 255 yards on 17 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has gained 206 yards on 13 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has gained 206 yards on 13 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 16.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has gained 255 yards on 17 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has gained 206 yards on 13 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Florida Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Florida WRs averaged 16.6 yards per reception (2,317 yards/140 catches) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
Florida Skill Players have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among SEC Teams
Florida Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among SEC Teams
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida’s opponents has attempted 48.0 passes per game this season– 2nd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4
South Florida has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.7
Florida has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (86 yards / 36 touches) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.6
Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 32 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (4 completions/11 attempts) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%
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