South Alabama vs UL Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Louisiana Monroe head coach Bryant Vincent reacts to a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Auburn, Saturday, Nov. 16, 2024, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/ Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/ Butch Dill)
  • South Alabama is a -4.5 point favorite vs. UL Monroe
  • South Alabama vs. UL Monroe Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

South Alabama (2-7) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on UL Monroe (3-6) on Nov. 15 in Monroe, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The South Alabama vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama-4.5 -11051.5 -115-200
UL Monroe +4.5 -11051.5 -105165

South Alabama vs UL Monroe Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 61.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and UL Monroe, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Alabama vs UL Monroe Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UL Monroe will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UL Monroe has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.3 Units / -23.17% ROI
  • South Alabama is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • South Alabama is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe iss 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -52% ROI).

  • UL Monroe is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -34.64% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.54% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -29.21% ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana-Monroe’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Louisiana-Monroe tackled opponents for a loss on just 66 of 494 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana-Monroe has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 53 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged a sack every 3.7 pass attempts (22 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17.4

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. UL Monroe

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Louisiana-Monroe tackled opponents for a loss on just 66 of 494 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana-Monroe has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 53 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged a sack every 3.7 pass attempts (22 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17.4

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana-Monroe’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana-Monroe’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Louisiana-Monroe tackled opponents for a loss on just 66 of 494 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana-Monroe has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 53 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged a sack every 3.7 pass attempts (22 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17.4

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Louisiana-Monroe’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 1,366 passing yards in 9 games (just 151.8 YPG) this season — 11th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

UL Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana-Monroe has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Louisiana-Monroe tackled opponents for a loss on just 66 of 494 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisiana-Monroe has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 53 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged a sack every 3.7 pass attempts (22 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 17.4


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