South Alabama vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Troy is a -1.5 point favorite vs. South Alabama
• South Alabama vs. Troy Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

South Alabama (1-4) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on Troy (2-2) on Oct. 4 in Troy, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Troy is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The South Alabama vs. Troy Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

South Alabama vs Troy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 65.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Troy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Alabama vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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South Alabama Best Bets Today

• South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• South Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Troy Best Bets Today

• Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+3.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• Troy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.65 Units / 10% ROI)
• Troy have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

• South Alabama is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -16.67% ROI
• South Alabama is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
• South Alabama is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Troy is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 40% ROI
• Troy is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
• Troy is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy RBs have averaged 9.5 Yards per Carry (152 yards/16 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Troy is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Troy

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Troy is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy RBs have averaged 9.5 Yards per Carry (152 yards/16 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy RBs have averaged 9.5 Yards per Carry (152 yards/16 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Troy is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Troy’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.2 YPG) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 144.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy RBs have averaged 9.5 Yards per Carry (152 yards/16 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Troy was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Troy is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

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