- Texas St is a -9.5 point favorite vs. South Alabama
- South Alabama vs. Texas State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
South Alabama (4-7) visit UFCU Stadium to take on Texas State (5-6) on Nov. 29 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.
Texas St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The South Alabama vs. Texas State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.
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South Alabama vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Alabama | +9.5 -110 | 62.5 -110 | 260 |
| Texas State | -9.5 -110 | 62.5 -110 | -325 |
South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 73.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Texas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Alabama vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Alabama Best Bets Today
- South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets Today
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- South Alabama is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -18.51% ROI
- South Alabama is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- South Alabama is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas St iss 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).
- Texas State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -25.54% ROI
- Texas State is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Texas State is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed 8.3 RAC to RBs this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Alabama have averaged just 16.9 receptions per game (169/10) this season– T-33rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.2
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 51.3
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (42 completions/47 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Texas State
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.2
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 51.3
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (42 completions/47 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed 8.3 RAC to RBs this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Alabama have averaged just 16.9 receptions per game (169/10) this season– T-33rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed 8.3 RAC to RBs this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Alabama have averaged just 16.9 receptions per game (169/10) this season– T-33rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.2
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 51.3
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (42 completions/47 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed 8.3 RAC to RBs this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Alabama have averaged just 16.9 receptions per game (169/10) this season– T-33rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 48.2
Texas State has forced 2 fumbles on 388 carries (194.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 51.3
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Texas State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (42 completions/47 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
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