South Alabama vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

  • North Texas is a -13.5 point favorite vs. South Alabama
  • South Alabama vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

South Alabama (1-3) visit DATCU Stadium to take on North Texas (4-0) on Sep. 27 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The South Alabama vs. North Texas Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

Bet now on North Texas vs South Alabama & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

South Alabama vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+13.5 -11562.5 -115375
North Texas -13.5 -10562.5 -105-500

South Alabama vs North Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 79.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Alabama vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 79.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on North Texas vs South Alabama and all games with BetMGM


  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.69 Units / 18% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.04 Units / 30% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -14.94% ROI
  • South Alabama is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • South Alabama is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas iss 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • North Texas is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 10.81% ROI
  • North Texas is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • North Texas is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

South Alabama had no touchdowns on 22 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

South Alabama WRs were targeted 9 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– T-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama RBs have carried the ball 23 times on 3rd down this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama’s RBs has gained 11 yards on 6 receptions (just 1.8 YPR) this season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Skill Players had 108 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

North Texas RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas QBs had 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas RBs have rushed for 12 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. North Texas

North Texas RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas QBs had 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas RBs have rushed for 12 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama had no touchdowns on 22 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

South Alabama WRs were targeted 9 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– T-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama RBs have carried the ball 23 times on 3rd down this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama’s RBs has gained 11 yards on 6 receptions (just 1.8 YPR) this season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Skill Players had 108 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama had no touchdowns on 22 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

South Alabama WRs were targeted 9 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– T-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama RBs have carried the ball 23 times on 3rd down this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama’s RBs has gained 11 yards on 6 receptions (just 1.8 YPR) this season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Skill Players had 108 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas QBs had 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas RBs have rushed for 12 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama had no touchdowns on 22 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

South Alabama WRs were targeted 9 times with 4-6 yards to go last week– T-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama RBs have carried the ball 23 times on 3rd down this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

South Alabama’s RBs has gained 11 yards on 6 receptions (just 1.8 YPR) this season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Skill Players had 108 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas QBs had 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas RBs have rushed for 12 TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams


Bet now on North Texas vs South Alabama and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.