South Alabama vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

General view of Jordan-Hare Stadium during the first half of an NCAA football game between Georgia and Auburn on Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Stew Milne)
(AP Photo/Stew Milne)
  • Auburn is a -24.5 point favorite vs. South Alabama
  • South Alabama vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

South Alabama (1-1) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on Auburn (2-0) on Sep. 13 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EDT.

Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-115).

The South Alabama vs. Auburn Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+24.5 -10555.5 -1151350
Auburn -24.5 -11555.5 -105-5000

South Alabama vs Auburn Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 87.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Alabama vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • South Alabama is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • South Alabama is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Auburn is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Auburn is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Auburn is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

South Alabama was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

South Alabama is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .476

South Alabama was 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

South Alabama was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn is winless (0-5) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .521

Auburn is winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .484

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Auburn

Auburn’s TEs has 42 receptions in 14 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC TEs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs have 203.2 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 237.3 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs have 203.2 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 237.3 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama has gained 405 yards on 30 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

South Alabama’s WRs has gained 349 yards on 23 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s WRs has 215 receptions in 15 games (14.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama has gained 405 yards on 30 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.

South Alabama’s WRs has gained 349 yards on 23 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s WRs has 215 receptions in 15 games (14.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

South Alabama’s WRs has 215 receptions in 15 games (14.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS WRs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.9% of 39 attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Auburn’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.9% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn Skill Players have no touchdowns on 11 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 8.1

Auburn WRs averaged just 7.5 receptions per game (98/13) in the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1

Auburn WRs were targeted 13.5 times per game (176/13) in the 2023 season– lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 20.5

Auburn TEs have been targeted 3.0 times per game (3/1) this season– T-lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 6.4

Auburn’s TEs has 42 receptions in 14 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC TEs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama has allowed 11 TDs in close and late situations since the 2024 season– 3rd-most in FBS

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn defense has allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Auburn has allowed 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (483 yards / 51 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.6

Auburn has allowed 419.0 Passing Yards per game (419/1) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 170.5

Auburn has allowed 314.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 122.4

Auburn has allowed 419.0 Passing Yards per game (419/1) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 166.8


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