SMU vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

• SMU is a -13.5 point favorite vs. California
• SMU vs. California Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN2

SMU (8-3) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on California (6-5) on Nov. 29 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

SMU is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. California Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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SMU vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SMU vs California Prediction:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 72.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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SMU Best Bets Today

• SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• SMU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)

California Best Bets Today

• California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 4% ROI)
• California has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.39 Units / 16% ROI)
• California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI).

• SMU is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 6.45% ROI
• SMU is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
• SMU is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California iss 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

• California is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.24% ROI
• California is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
• California is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. California

California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

California is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .617

California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

California: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.8

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.3

SMU allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Matchup Notes for SMU vs. California

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.8

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.3

SMU allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

California is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .617

California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

California is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .617

California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

California Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.8

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.3

SMU allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends

California was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

California was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

California is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .617

California was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

California Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.8

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 58 carries (14.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.1

SMU has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 354 carries (88.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.3

SMU allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (28 completions/39 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

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