San Jose St vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • San Jose St is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
  • San Jose State vs. Nevada Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

San Jose State (3-6) visit Mackay Stadium to take on Nevada (1-8) on Nov. 15 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

San Jose St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The San Jose State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State-9.5 -11052.5 -115-350
Nevada +9.5 -11052.5 -105275

San Jose State vs Nevada Prediction:

The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 72.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Nevada, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

San Jose State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI).

  • Nevada is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -68.62% ROI
  • Nevada is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Nevada is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada

San Jose State WRs were targeted 33.2 times per game (431/13) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 35.1 times per game (316/9) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.5

San Jose State had no touchdowns on 28 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3

San Jose State WRs were targeted 122 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

San Jose State WRs have averaged 19.6 receptions per game (432/22) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada have thrown 1.9 interceptions per game (17/9) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.7

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 4,084 passing yards in 22 games (just 185.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 252.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — 20th-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Nevada

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada have thrown 1.9 interceptions per game (17/9) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.7

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 4,084 passing yards in 22 games (just 185.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 252.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — 20th-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State WRs were targeted 33.2 times per game (431/13) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 35.1 times per game (316/9) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.5

San Jose State had no touchdowns on 28 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3

San Jose State WRs were targeted 122 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

San Jose State WRs have averaged 19.6 receptions per game (432/22) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs were targeted 33.2 times per game (431/13) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 35.1 times per game (316/9) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.5

San Jose State had no touchdowns on 28 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3

San Jose State WRs were targeted 122 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

San Jose State WRs have averaged 19.6 receptions per game (432/22) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada have thrown 1.9 interceptions per game (17/9) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.7

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 4,084 passing yards in 22 games (just 185.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 252.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — 20th-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs were targeted 33.2 times per game (431/13) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 35.1 times per game (316/9) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.5

San Jose State had no touchdowns on 28 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3

San Jose State WRs were targeted 122 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams

San Jose State WRs have averaged 19.6 receptions per game (432/22) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada’s offense has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 1,382 passing yards in 9 games (just 153.6 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 281.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Nevada have thrown 1.9 interceptions per game (17/9) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.7

Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 4,084 passing yards in 22 games (just 185.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 252.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nevada’s RBs has averaged 10.8 yards after the catch this season — 20th-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.


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