- San Diego St is a -2.5 point favorite vs. N Illinois
- San Diego State vs. Northern Illinois Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
San Diego State (2-1) visit Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium to take on Northern Illinois (1-2) on Sep. 27 in DeKalb, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
San Diego St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The San Diego State vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | -2.5 -115 | 42.5 -110 | -135 |
| Northern Illinois | +2.5 -105 | 42.5 -110 | 110 |
San Diego State vs Northern Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 74.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego St and N Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 74.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets Today
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Northern Illinois Best Bets Today
- Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego St is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- San Diego State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 32.31% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- San Diego State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -14.49% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s QBs has thrown for 2,977 passing yards in 15 games (just 198.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 175.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has rushed for 1,824 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 254 yards on 25 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois have thrown 0 TDs on 134 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1
Northern Illinois has gained 342 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.0% of 440 attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 254 yards on 25 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois have thrown 0 TDs on 134 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1
Northern Illinois has gained 342 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.0% of 440 attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s QBs has thrown for 2,977 passing yards in 15 games (just 198.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 175.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has rushed for 1,824 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s QBs has thrown for 2,977 passing yards in 15 games (just 198.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 175.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has rushed for 1,824 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 254 yards on 25 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois have thrown 0 TDs on 134 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1
Northern Illinois has gained 342 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.0% of 440 attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s QBs has thrown for 2,977 passing yards in 15 games (just 198.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 175.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 452 attempts since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has rushed for 1,824 yards on 406 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 254 yards on 25 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — 9th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois have thrown 0 TDs on 134 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1
Northern Illinois has gained 342 yards on 43 receptions (just 8.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.0% of 440 attempts since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
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