- San Diego St is a -7 point favorite vs. Hawaii
- San Diego State vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: SPEC
San Diego State (7-1) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on Hawaii (6-3) on Nov. 8 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EST.
San Diego St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | -7 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -275 |
| Hawaii | +7 -110 | 50.5 -110 | 220 |
San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 67.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego St and Hawaii, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets Today
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Hawaii Best Bets Today
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.66 Units / 25% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego St is 7-1 against the spread this college football season (+5.9 Units / 67.82% ROI).
- San Diego State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 38.57% ROI
- San Diego State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- San Diego State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hawaii iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.41% ROI).
- Hawaii is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 32.83% ROI
- Hawaii is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Hawaii is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 227 carries (113.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 24.3
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 35 passes (29% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
Hawai’i’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 408 attempts this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 37.0 times per game (333/9) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Hawai’i Skill Players have been targeted 112 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 94 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have averaged 21.4 receptions per game (449/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Hawaii
Hawai’i’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 408 attempts this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 37.0 times per game (333/9) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Hawai’i Skill Players have been targeted 112 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 94 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have averaged 21.4 receptions per game (449/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 227 carries (113.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 24.3
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 35 passes (29% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 227 carries (113.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 24.3
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 35 passes (29% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 408 attempts this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 37.0 times per game (333/9) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Hawai’i Skill Players have been targeted 112 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 94 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have averaged 21.4 receptions per game (449/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 227 carries (113.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 24.3
San Diego State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 25 carries (12.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 35 passes (29% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Diego State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (10 completions/37 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.8% of 408 attempts this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 37.0 times per game (333/9) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Hawai’i Skill Players have been targeted 112 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 94 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have averaged 21.4 receptions per game (449/21) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
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