- Hawaii is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Sam Houston St
- Sam Houston State vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: SPEC
Sam Houston State (0-2) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on Hawaii (1-1) on Sep. 7 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00am EDT.
Hawaii is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Sam Houston State vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Sam Houston State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Sam Houston State | +6.5 -105 | 47.5 -110 | +195 |
| Hawaii | -6.5 -115 | 47.5 -110 | -235 |
Sam Houston State vs Hawaii Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Hawai’i will win this game with 72.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Sam Houston St and Hawaii, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Sam Houston State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawai’i will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Sam Houston State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Sam Houston has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
Hawaii Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sam Houston St is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hawaii iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Hawaii is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Hawaii is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Hawaii is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .602
Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
Sam Houston was 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .392
Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .644
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State
Hawai’i was 5-1 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2024 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .573
Hawai’i was 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .459
Hawai’i was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
Hawai’i was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .443
Matchup Notes for Sam Houston State vs. Hawaii
Hawai’i’s WRs has averaged 35.5 targets per game this season — 2nd-highest among FBS WRs. Sam Houston’s defense has allowed 19.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i has been targeted 86 times this season — 2nd-most among FBS skill players. Sam Houston’s defense has allowed 650 receiving yards this season — most among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s WRs has 42 receptions in 2 games (21.0 per game) this season — T-8th-best among FBS WRs. Sam Houston’s defense has allowed 26.0 receptions per game this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hunter Watson (SHSU) has 108 rushing yards this season — 7th-most of Qualified Quarterbacks. Hawai’i’s defense has allowed 360 rushing yards this season — 2nd-most among NonP5 defenses.
Hunter Watson (SHSU) has 108 rushing yards this season — 7th-most of Qualified Quarterbacks. Hawai’i’s defense has allowed 360 rushing yards this season — 2nd-most among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston WRs have been targeted 17 times in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Sam Houston WRs have been targeted 13 times on 3rd down this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Sam Houston Skill Players have been targeted 23 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Sam Houston WRs have been targeted 42 times this season– 5th-most among FBS Teams
Sam Houston RBs have 4 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i Skill Players have been targeted 28 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs were targeted 36.9 times per game (443/12) in the 2024 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 24 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have 13 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i have been sacked 9 times this season– most among FBS Offenses
Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston has allowed 5 TD passes this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Sam Houston has allowed 31 first down receptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Sam Houston has allowed 650 Passing Yards this season– most in FBS
Sam Houston has allowed 31 first down receptions this season– most in FBS
Sam Houston has allowed 10 receptions for 20+ yards this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Hawai’i has allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Hawai’i has allowed 5 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Hawai’i has allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Hawai’i has allowed 360 rushing yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS
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