Rutgers vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Minnesota TCF Bank Stadium
(Photo by Gian Lorenzo Ferretti/Shutterstock)
  • Minnesota is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Rutgers vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Rutgers (3-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota (2-1) on Sep. 27 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (100).

The Rutgers vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+5.5 -12051.5 -115170
Minnesota -5.5 10051.5 -105-210

Rutgers vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 60.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.40 Units / 6% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.47% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.76% ROI
  • Rutgers is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 93.02% ROI
  • Rutgers is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -100% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -5.76% ROI
  • Minnesota is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Minnesota is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.4 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,063 yards on 69 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 1,219 yards on 91 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (310 yards/45 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.6

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 528 attempts since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Minnesota

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.4 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,063 yards on 69 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 1,219 yards on 91 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (310 yards/45 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.6

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 528 attempts since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.4 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,063 yards on 69 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 1,219 yards on 91 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (310 yards/45 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.6

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 528 attempts since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 8.4 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,063 yards on 69 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 1,219 yards on 91 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (310 yards/45 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.6

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 528 attempts since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 455 yards on 24 receptions (19.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 84 attempts this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.


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