Rice vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Nov 28, 2025, 10:30 AM

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South Florida is a -27.5 point favorite vs. Rice
Rice vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Rice (5-6) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on South Florida (8-3) on Nov. 29 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-110).

The Rice vs. South Florida Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Rice vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Rice	+27.5 -110	60.5 -118	1600
South Florida	-27.5 -110	60.5 -102	-5000

Rice vs South Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 83.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and South Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Rice Best Bets Today

Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Rice has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 23% ROI)

South Florida Best Bets Today

South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 5% ROI)
South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
South Florida have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

Rice is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 3.82% ROI
Rice is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Rice is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida iss 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI).

South Florida is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 6.17% ROI
South Florida is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
South Florida is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida

South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

South Florida is 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .587

South Florida is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .449

South Florida was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most in FBS

South Florida allowed 278.8 Passing Yards per game (3,624/13) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 220.0

South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Opponents have averaged 25.4 completions per game (254 / 10) against South Florida this season– worst in FBS; Average: 18.9

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. South Florida