Rice vs Navy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

BetMGM Betting Sep 26, 2025, 10:12 AM

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Navy is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Rice
Rice vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

Rice (3-1) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on Navy (3-0) on Sep. 27 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Navy is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Rice vs. Navy Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Rice vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Rice	+14.5 -110	44.5 -110	475
Navy	-14.5 -110	44.5 -110	-650

Rice vs Navy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rice vs Navy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Rice Best Bets Today

Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.67 Units / 49% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Rice has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Navy Best Bets Today

Navy have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.78 Units / 11% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Rice is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 8.39% ROI
Rice is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Rice is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Navy is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.81% ROI
Navy is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Navy is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Rice’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 53 attempts this season — T-26th-worst among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (110/12) last season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Rice Skill Players have been targeted 13.0 times per game (52/4) this season– 3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Rice Skill Players have averaged just 7.9 yards per reception (308 yards/39 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Rice WRs have averaged just 8.0 yards per reception (240 yards/30 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Navy have averaged just 7.5 receptions per game (120/16) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0

Navy have averaged 22.2 yards per completion (222 yards/10 completions) on 1st down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4

Navy have averaged 16.4 yards per completion (1,963 yards/120 completions) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0

Navy Skill Players have averaged just 7.4 receptions per game (118/16) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Navy have averaged just 7.0 receptions per game (21/3) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.5

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. Navy