Rice vs Charlotte Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

  • Rice is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Charlotte
  • Rice vs. Charlotte Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Rice (2-1) visit Jerry Richardson Stadium to take on Charlotte (1-2) on Sep. 18 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Rice is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Rice vs. Charlotte Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Rice vs. Charlotte Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rice-2.5 -11042.5 -110-135
Charlotte +2.5 -11042.5 -110115

Rice vs Charlotte Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rice will win this game with 84.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and Charlotte, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rice vs Charlotte Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Charlotte will cover the spread with 71.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.57 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Charlotte have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Rice is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 6.49% ROI
  • Rice is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Rice is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -29.41% ROI
  • Charlotte is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Charlotte is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

Keys to the game – away

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Charlotte is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Charlotte is 3-9 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Charlotte was 3-7 (.300) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .622

Charlotte was 2-8 (.200) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. Charlotte

Charlotte’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 448 attempts since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte has 241 receptions in 15 games (just 16.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 14.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte has 241 receptions in 15 games (just 16.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 14.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) this season — T-worst among FBS TEs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 28.7 receptions per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s QBs has thrown for 210 passing yards in 3 games (just 70.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 323.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Rice’s offense has thrown for 210 passing yards in 3 games (just 70.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 323.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice have averaged just 7.0 yards per completion (210 yards/30 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8

Rice’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) this season — T-worst among FBS TEs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 28.7 receptions per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s QBs has thrown for 210 passing yards in 3 games (just 70.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 323.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Rice RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (110/12) last season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Rice’s offense has thrown for 210 passing yards in 3 games (just 70.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 323.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte WRs averaged 26.5 yards per reception (212 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Charlotte WRs averaged 20.0 yards per reception (600 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Charlotte WRs have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (367 yards/18 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Charlotte Skill Players averaged 15.2 yards per reception (2,689 yards/177 catches) last season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Rice Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (38 completions/78 attempts) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Rice sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (33/323) last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Rice tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 33 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (41/401) since the 2024 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Rice has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (38 completions/78 attempts) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Charlotte Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has no interceptions (124 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Charlotte has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6

Charlotte has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Charlotte has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: 6.6

Charlotte allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-most in FBS


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