- Notre Dame is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Purdue vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Purdue (2-1) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on Notre Dame (0-2) on Sep. 20 in South Bend, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-115).
The Purdue vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Purdue vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Purdue | +25.5 -105 | 53.5 -110 | 1200 |
| Notre Dame | -25.5 -115 | 53.5 -110 | -3000 |
Purdue vs Notre Dame Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Purdue vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Purdue Best Bets Today
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Notre Dame Best Bets Today
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Purdue is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.26% ROI
- Purdue is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -100% ROI
- Notre Dame is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Notre Dame is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
Purdue is winless (0-5) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
Purdue was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Purdue is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Purdue was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Notre Dame was undefeated (11-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Notre Dame was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Notre Dame was undefeated (10-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Notre Dame was undefeated (10-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Notre Dame
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame has gained 514 yards on 39 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue has 246 receptions in 15 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 246 receptions in 15 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 35th-worst among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 815 passing yards in 3 games (271.7 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 282.5 passing yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has 246 receptions in 15 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 246 receptions in 15 games (just 16.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 35th-worst among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 815 passing yards in 3 games (271.7 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 282.5 passing yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has gained 626 yards on 43 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-35th-best among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 16.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 815 passing yards in 3 games (271.7 YPG) this season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed 282.5 passing yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Notre Dame QBs rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame TEs have averaged 20.2 yards per reception (182 yards/9 catches) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Notre Dame averaged 27.5 yards per reception (165 yards/6 catches) on 1st down last week– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.3
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 60 TDs last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.6
Purdue forced 2 fumbles on 472 carries (236.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.8
Purdue has intercepted 4 of 408 attempts (102.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 35.2
Purdue has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame has sacked opposing QBs just once on 67 pass attempts this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.1
Notre Dame allowed 21.2 yards per completion (360 yards/17 completions) last week– worst in FBS; Average: 11.6
Notre Dame did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 13.8
Notre Dame has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 70 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Notre Dame did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 46 rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
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