- Pitt is a -7 point favorite vs. West Virginia
- Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Pittsburgh (2-0) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on West Virginia (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Pitt is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Pittsburgh | -7 -110 | 57.5 -115 | -295 |
| West Virginia | +7 -110 | 57.5 -105 | 230 |
Pittsburgh vs West Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 63.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Pitt and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Pittsburgh vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 73.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Pittsburgh Best Bets Today
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets Today
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Pitt is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Pittsburgh is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.88% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- West Virginia is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -100% ROI
- West Virginia is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- West Virginia is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Pittsburgh is 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .592
Pittsburgh is 3-4 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Pittsburgh is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .625
Pittsburgh is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .643
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh
West Virginia was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443
West Virginia is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690
West Virginia was 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
West Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .476
Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 320 yards on 21 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 320 yards on 21 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 2,309 yards on 163 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.1% of 70 attempts this season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 4,109 passing yards in 15 games (273.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 18th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 255.9 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 4,109 passing yards in 15 games (273.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 18th-best among FBS teams. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 255.9 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.
Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.1% of 70 attempts this season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Pittsburgh WRs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh Skill Players have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh Skill Players have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Pittsburgh RBs caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 320 yards on 21 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
West Virginia QBs have averaged 190.0 rushing yards per game (190/1) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 35.0
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 320 yards on 21 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 2,309 yards on 163 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
West Virginia Skill Players averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 31 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 31 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.
Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 89 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 122 of 548 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since the 2024 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (7 completions/22 attempts) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 58%
West Virginia did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
West Virginia has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 22 passes (32% Reception Pct) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
West Virginia intercepted 5 of 386 attempts (77.2 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 32.7
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